Literature review for the analysis of the performance of the SWAT model in Future Water Availability
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32911/as.2024.v17.n2.1181Keywords:
Climate change, Water availability, SWAT, Systemic reviewAbstract
Climate change is a global problem that is affecting the availability of surface water worldwide. Extreme weather events are increasing according to future predictions, this causes changes in precipitation patterns, intensifying droughts and floods. The objective of the research was to carry out a systematic review of articles indexed from 2014 to 2024, referring to the performance of the SWAT model in future water availability. The materials and methods were based on two well-marked stages; the literature search and literature review, the first stage corresponds to the identification of the literature in the Scopus database, applying a search string in articles published in the last 10 years, and then performing a filter applying 2 selection criteria and finally the second stage, which integrates the information by ordering it and extracting the most relevant for the analysis. The review and analysis carried out showed good performance in most of the studies that used the SWAT model in the simulations; For the most part, there is a trend toward decreased rainfall and water availability. In conclusion, the SWAT model performed well in most of the studies reviewed; In most future projections there is a trend towards a decrease in rainfall and water availability.
Downloads
References
Abesh, B. F., Jin, L., & Hubbart, J. A. (2022). Predicting Climate Change Impacts on Water Balance Components of a Mountainous Watershed in the Northeastern USA. Water (Switzerland), 14(20). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w14203349
Akhtar, F., Awan, U. K., Borgemeister, C., & Tischbein, B. (2021). Coupling remote sensing and hydrological model for evaluating the impacts of climate change on streamflow in data-scarce environment. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(24). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su132414025
Alawi, S. A., & Özkul, S. (2023). Impact assessment of climate change on water resources of the Kokcha watershed: a sub-basin of the Amu Darya river basin in Afghanistan. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 14(5). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.504
Al-Falahi, A. H., Saddique, · Naeem, Spank, · Uwe, Pluntke, · Thomas, Gebrechorkos, S. H., Mauder, M., & Bernhofer, · Christian. (2024). Hydrological investigation of climate change impact on water balance components in the agricultural terraced watersheds of Yemeni highland. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-04913-x
Aloui, S., Mazzoni, A., Elomri, A., Aouissi, J., Boufekane, A., & Zghibi, A. (2023). A review of Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) studies of Mediterranean catchments: Applications, feasibility, and future directions. In Journal of Environmental Management (Vol. 326). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116799
Assfaw, M. T., Neka, B. G., & Ayele, E. G. (2023). Modeling the impact of climate change on streamflow responses in the Kessem watershed, Middle Awash sub-basin, Ethiopia. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 14(12), 4837–4859. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.541
Balcha, S. K., Awass, A. A., Hulluka, T. A., Bantider, A., & Ayele, G. T. (2023). Assessment of future climate change impact on water balance components in Central Rift Valley Lakes Basin, Ethiopia. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 14(1). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2022.249
Blanco-Gómez, P., Jimeno-Sáez, P., Senent-Aparicio, J., & Pérez-Sánchez, J. (2019). Impact of climate change on water balance components and droughts in the Guajoyo River Basin (El Salvador). Water (Switzerland), 11(11). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11112360
Boru, G. F., Gonfa, Z. B., & Diga, G. M. (2019). Impacts of climate change on stream flow and water availability in Anger sub-basin, Nile Basin of Ethiopia. Sustainable Water Resources Management, 5(4). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40899-019-00327-0
Budhathoki, A., Babel, M. S., Shrestha, S., Meon, G., & Kamalamma, A. G. (2021). Climate change impact on water balance and hydrological extremes in different physiographic regions of the West Seti River Basin, Nepal. Ecohydrology and Hydrobiology, 21(1). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecohyd.2020.07.001
CEPAL. (2023). Statistical Yearbook for Latin America and The Caribbean 2023. www.issuu.com/publicacionescepal/stacks
Chattopadhyay, S., Edwards, D. R., Yu, Y., & Hamidisepehr, A. (2017). An Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Future Water Availability and Droughts in the Kentucky River Basin. Environmental Processes, 4(3). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-017-0259-2
Dahal, P., Shrestha, M. L., Panthi, J., & Pradhananga, D. (2020). Modeling the future impacts of climate change on water availability in the Karnali River Basin of Nepal Himalaya. Environmental Research, 185. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.109430
Deng, Y., Yao, Y., Zhao, Y., Luo, D., Cao, B., Kuang, X., & Zheng, C. (2023). Impact of climate change on the long-term water balance in the Yarlung Zangbo basin. Frontiers in Earth Science, 11. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1107809
Fentaw, F., Hailu, D., Nigussie, A., & Melesse, A. M. (2018). Climate Change Impact on the Hydrology of Tekeze Basin, Ethiopia: Projection of Rainfall-Runoff for Future Water Resources Planning. Water Conservation Science and Engineering, 3(4). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41101-018-0057-3
Fu, Z., Xie, Y., Zhang, Y., Jiang, X., Guo, H., & Wang, S. (2022). Water Resource Availability Assessment Through Hydrological Simulation Under Climate Change in the Huangshui Watershed of the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Frontiers in Earth Science, 9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.755119
Grusson, Y., Wesström, I., Svedberg, E., & Joel, A. (2021). Influence of climate change on water partitioning in agricultural watersheds: Examples from Sweden. Agricultural Water Management, 249. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.106766
Haider, H., Zaman, M., Liu, S., Saifullah, M., Usman, M., Chauhdary, J. N., Anjum, M. N., & Waseem, M. (2020). Appraisal of climate change and its impact on water resources of pakistan: A case study of mangla watershed. Atmosphere, 11(10). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos11101071
Haleem, K., Khan, A. U., Khan, J., Ghanim, A. A. J., & Al-Areeq, A. M. (2023). Evaluating Future Streamflow Patterns under SSP245 Scenarios: Insights from CMIP6. Sustainability, 15(22), 16117. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su152216117
Huyen, N. T., Tu, L. H., Tram, V. N. Q., Minh, D. N., Liem, N. D., & Loi, N. K. (2017). Assessing the impacts of climate change on water resources in the srepok watershed, central highland of Vietnam. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 8(3). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2017.135
Ich, I., Sok, T., Kaing, V., Try, S., Chan, R., & Oeurng, C. (2022). Climate change impact on water balance and hydrological extremes in the Lower Mekong Basin: a case study of Prek Thnot River Basin, Cambodia. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 13(8). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2022.051
IPCC. (2023). Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: Tecnical Summary. In Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844.002
Iranmanesh, R., Jalalkamali, N., & Tayari, O. (2021). Water resources availability under different climate change scenarios in South East Iran. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 12(8). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2021.373
Karam, S., Zango, B. S., Seidou, O., Perera, D., Nagabhatla, N., & Tshimanga, R. M. (2023). Impacts of Climate Change on Hydrological Regimes in the Congo River Basin. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(7). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su15076066
Khalilian, S., & Shahvari, N. (2019). A SWAT Evaluation of the Effects of Climate Change on Renewable Water Resources in Salt Lake Sub-Basin, Iran. AgriEngineering, 1(1). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/agriengineering1010004
Li, F., Zhang, G., & Xu, Y. J. (2016). Assessing climate change impacts on water resources in the Songhua River Basin. Water (Switzerland), 8(10). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w8100420
Luo, M., Meng, F., Liu, T., Duan, Y., Frankl, A., Kurban, A., & de Maeyer, P. (2017). Multi-model ensemble approaches to assessment of effects of local climate change on water resources of the Hotan River basin in Xinjiang, China. Water (Switzerland), 9(8). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w9080584
Marin, M., Clinciu, I., Tudose, N. C., Ungurean, C., Adorjani, A., Mihalache, A. L., Davidescu, A. A., Davidescu, O., Dinca, L., & Cacovean, H. (2020). Assessing the vulnerability of water resources in the context of climate changes in a small forested watershed using SWAT: A review. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.109330
Merga, D. D., Adeba, D., Regasa, M. S., & Leta, M. K. (2022). Evaluation of Surface Water Resource Availability under the Impact of Climate Change in the Dhidhessa Sub-Basin, Ethiopia. Atmosphere, 13(8). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13081296
Mishra, Y., Nakamura, T., Babel, M. S., Ninsawat, S., & Ochi, S. (2018). Impact of climate change on water resources of the Bheri River Basin, Nepal. Water (Switzerland), 10(2). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w10020220
Näschen, K., Diekkrüger, B., Leemhuis, C., Seregina, L. S., & van der Linden, R. (2019). Impact of climate change on water resources in the Kilombero Catchment in Tanzania. Water (Switzerland), 11(4). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w11040859
Nath Prajapati, R., Ibrahim, N., & Thapa, R. (2023). Climate change impact on water availability in the Himalaya: Insights from Sunkoshi River basin, Nepal. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hydres.2023.10.002
Nedkov, S., Campagne, S., Borisova, B., Krpec, P., Prodanova, H., Kokkoris, I. P., Hristova, D., Le Clec’h G, S., Santos-Martin, F., Burkhard, B., Bekri, E. S., Stoycheva, V., Bruzón, A. G., & Dimopoulos, P. (2022). Modeling water regulation ecosystem services: A review in the context of ecosystem accounting. Ecosystem Services, 56, 101458. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoser.2022.101458
Nilawar, A. P., & Waikar, M. L. (2019). Impacts of climate change on streamflow and sediment concentration under RCP 4.5 and 8.5: A case study in Purna river basin, India. Science of the Total Environment, 650. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.334
Okwala, T., Shrestha, S., Ghimire, S., Mohanasundaram, S., & Datta, A. (2020). Assessment of climate change impacts on water balance and hydrological extremes in Bang Pakong-Prachin Buri river basin, Thailand. Environmental Research, 186. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2020.109544
Ougahi, J. H., Cutler, M. E. J., & Cook, S. J. (2022). Modelling climate change impact on water resources of the Upper Indus Basin. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 13(2). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2021.233
Pulighe, G., Lupia, F., Chen, H., & Yin, H. (2021). Modeling climate change impacts on water balance of a mediterranean watershed using swat+. Hydrology, 8(4). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology8040157
Quansah, J. E., Naliaka, A. B., Fall, S., Ankumah, R., & Afandi, G. El. (2021). Assessing future impacts of climate change on streamflow within the alabama river basin. Climate, 9(4). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli9040055
Reshma, C., & Arunkumar, R. (2023). Assessment of impact of climate change on the streamflow of Idamalayar River Basin, Kerala. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 14(7). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2023.456
Saade, J., Atieh, M., Ghanimeh, S., & Golmohammadi, G. (2021). Modeling impact of climate change on surface water availability using swat model in a semi-arid basin: Case of el kalb river, lebanon. Hydrology, 8(3). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/HYDROLOGY8030134
Siddaway, A. P., Wood, A. M., & Hedges, L. V. (2019). How to Do a Systematic Review: A Best Practice Guide for Conducting and Reporting Narrative Reviews, Meta-Analyses, and Meta-Syntheses. In Annual Review of Psychology (Vol. 70). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-psych-010418-102803
Tan, M. L., Gassman, P. W., Liang, J., & Haywood, J. M. (2021). A review of alternative climate products for SWAT modelling: Sources, assessment and future directions. In Science of the Total Environment (Vol. 795). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.148915
Tan, M. L., Gassman, P. W., Yang, X., & Haywood, J. (2020). A review of SWAT applications, performance and future needs for simulation of hydro-climatic extremes. In Advances in Water Resources (Vol. 143). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2020.103662
Tan, M. L., Ibrahim, A. L., Yusop, Z., Chua, V. P., & Chan, N. W. (2017). Climate change impacts under CMIP5 RCP scenarios on water resources of the Kelantan River Basin, Malaysia. Atmospheric Research, 189. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.01.008
Touseef, M., Chen, L., & Yang, W. (2021). Assessment of surfacewater availability under climate change using coupled SWAT-WEAP in hongshui river basin, China. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 10(5). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10050298
Yin, Z., Feng, Q., Zou, S., & Yang, L. (2016). Assessing variation in water balance components in mountainous Inland River Basin experiencing climate change. Water (Switzerland), 8(10). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w8100472
Yu, Y., Liu, J., Yang, Z., Cao, Y., Chang, J., & Mei, C. (2018). Effect of climate change on water resources in the Yuanshui River Basin: a SWAT model assessment. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 11(11). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-018-3619-y
Zaman, M., Anjum, M. N., Usman, M., Ahmad, I., Saifullah, M., Yuan, S., & Liu, S. (2018). Enumerating the effects of climate change on water resources using GCM scenarios at the Xin’anjiang Watershed, China. Water (Switzerland), 10(10). DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/w10101296
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Carlos Martínez Zelaya, Fidel Aparicio Roque
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
